Pre-tourney Rankings
New Mexico St.
Western Athletic
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.9#90
Expected Predictive Rating+6.9#77
Pace65.7#231
Improvement+0.2#161

Offense
Total Offense+4.5#62
First Shot+2.6#104
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#51
Layup/Dunks+2.0#93
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#198
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#223
Freethrows+2.6#36
Improvement+0.5#155

Defense
Total Defense+0.4#164
First Shot+0.9#140
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#239
Layups/Dunks-1.9#248
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#238
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#39
Freethrows+0.5#143
Improvement-0.2#196
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 13.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round10.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.2% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 13 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2016 82   @ Colorado St. L 61-64 36%     0 - 1 +5.6 -5.7 +11.2
  Nov 16, 2016 162   Samford W 58-48 76%     1 - 1 +7.6 -12.3 +20.9
  Nov 18, 2016 118   @ New Mexico L 59-72 49%     1 - 2 -7.8 -7.6 -1.1
  Nov 20, 2016 340   Bethune-Cookman W 89-73 97%     2 - 2 -1.6 +14.3 -14.7
  Nov 22, 2016 318   Nicholls St. W 86-74 94%     3 - 2 -1.0 +12.5 -12.7
  Nov 26, 2016 240   @ San Diego W 56-51 76%     4 - 2 +2.7 -3.8 +7.7
  Nov 30, 2016 215   Air Force W 78-70 85%     5 - 2 +2.0 +10.8 -7.8
  Dec 03, 2016 226   Long Beach St. W 93-85 86%     6 - 2 +1.4 +8.5 -7.7
  Dec 10, 2016 118   New Mexico W 84-71 68%     7 - 2 +13.1 +12.2 +1.0
  Dec 13, 2016 195   @ UTEP W 79-68 65%     8 - 2 +11.9 +6.8 +4.9
  Dec 17, 2016 114   @ Arizona St. W 81-70 47%     9 - 2 +16.6 +5.6 +10.8
  Dec 19, 2016 143   UC Irvine W 85-79 OT 73%     10 - 2 +4.6 +9.6 -5.3
  Dec 30, 2016 195   UTEP W 79-70 81%     11 - 2 +4.8 +10.3 -5.0
  Jan 05, 2017 224   @ UMKC W 77-64 73%     12 - 2 1 - 0 +11.6 +4.4 +7.5
  Jan 07, 2017 339   @ Chicago St. W 78-62 94%     13 - 2 2 - 0 +3.8 +8.9 -3.6
  Jan 12, 2017 161   Grand Canyon W 81-69 76%     14 - 2 3 - 0 +9.7 +16.4 -5.7
  Jan 14, 2017 122   Cal St. Bakersfield W 63-58 69%     15 - 2 4 - 0 +4.8 +5.1 +0.4
  Jan 21, 2017 224   UMKC W 94-71 86%     16 - 2 5 - 0 +16.5 +17.7 -0.9
  Jan 26, 2017 267   @ Seattle W 71-56 80%     17 - 2 6 - 0 +11.0 -4.7 +14.8
  Jan 28, 2017 190   @ Utah Valley W 74-69 64%     18 - 2 7 - 0 +6.2 +5.9 +0.4
  Feb 04, 2017 339   Chicago St. W 86-51 97%     19 - 2 8 - 0 +17.7 +10.9 +8.4
  Feb 09, 2017 122   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 53-72 50%     19 - 3 8 - 1 -14.1 -10.9 -3.5
  Feb 11, 2017 161   @ Grand Canyon L 71-83 58%     19 - 4 8 - 2 -9.3 +1.6 -10.7
  Feb 18, 2017 310   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 107-101 87%     20 - 4 9 - 2 -1.3 +19.2 -21.0
  Feb 23, 2017 190   Utah Valley L 72-84 80%     20 - 5 9 - 3 -15.9 +2.9 -19.3
  Feb 25, 2017 267   Seattle W 86-53 90%     21 - 5 10 - 3 +23.9 +24.9 +4.0
  Mar 04, 2017 310   UT Rio Grande Valley W 107-81 94%     22 - 5 11 - 3 +13.6 +17.3 -5.9
  Mar 09, 2017 339   Chicago St. W 67-53 96%     23 - 5 -0.8 -3.8 +4.5
  Mar 10, 2017 224   UMKC W 78-60 80%     24 - 5 +14.0 +6.4 +8.7
  Mar 11, 2017 122   Cal St. Bakersfield W 70-60 60%     25 - 5 +12.4 +12.3 +1.2
Projected Record 25.0 - 5.0 11.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 0.0%
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 13.1 12.0 69.8 18.2
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13.1 12.0 69.8 18.2